Govt. assessment finds war over Doklam won't benefit China
It's unlikely that China will benefit in a conflict with India arising from an escalation in the Doklam standoff, according to an Indian government assessment reported by Times of India. Chinese troops risk suffering heavy casualties in a conflict which may not translate into tangible territorial or strategic advantage for Beijing. The assessment lays emphasis on the importance of diplomacy to solve the crisis.
Conflict wouldn't bode well for China's global aspirations
A conflict leading to a status-quo or no-win/no-lose situation for both sides wouldn't bid well for China. Such a situation would dent China's aura as a pre-eminent Asian power attempting to challenge America's status as a global super power, an unattractive scenario for Beijing.
Indian Army has distinct advantage over China in Doklam
It's possible that a conflict surrounding Doklam could spread to other areas along the India-China border which are also disputed but neither sides have a clear upper hand. At Doklam, India has the higher ground, giving it a distinct military advantage. When it comes to border infrastructure, India lags behind China. Yet, a conflict would be more uneven and cause both sides heavy casualties.
$70bn bilateral trade raises cost of India-China war
The economic relationship between India and China is deepening and annual bilateral trade is worth $70 billion. Analysts believe a war between India and China is unlikely given the high economic costs of war. Yet, it's possible China may still act on its threats.
