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Bill Gates backs 'shut down' to combat COVID-19 outbreak

Bill Gates backs 'shut down' to combat COVID-19 outbreak

Mar 19, 2020
11:40 am

What's the story

As the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 continues to wreak havoc around the world, Bill Gates is urging the public 'stay calm'. In a recent 'Ask Me Anything' session on Reddit, the Microsoft co-founder called the spread of the virus an 'unprecedented' situation and backed the approach of proactive testing and shut down as the only way to combat it. Here's all about it.

Need

Why is "shut down" critical

While answering questions covering different aspects of COVID-19, Gates highlighted the importance of proactive testing and shut down "so that the infection rate drops dramatically to let us go back to normal as soon as possible." "If you don't do this then the disease will spread to a high percentage of the population and your hospitals will be overloaded with cases," he noted.

Impact

Strategy helped reduce infection rates in China

Gates added that the testing-shutdown model works and has drastically reduced infection rates in China. "When they realized how serious it was they did strong social isolation. Of course, that isolation created a lot of difficulties...but they were able to stop the case spread. A combination of testing and social isolation clearly works and that is all we have until we get a vaccine."

Possibility

Countries could get back up in 6-10 weeks

That said, Gates further noted that the economic impact of enforcing a shutdown would be large, but countries doing it effectively could bounce back in weeks. "If a country does a good job with testing and "shut down" then within 6-10 weeks they should see very few cases and be able to open back up," he said

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However, situation in developing nations major point of concern

"I worry about all the economic damage but even worse will be how this will affect the developing countries who cannot do the social distancing the same way as rich countries and whose hospital capacity is much lower," Gates while describing the problem at hand.

Vaccines

Meanwhile, the work on vaccines is going on

As for the work being done, Gates said that "over 6 different efforts are going on to make a vaccine." "Some use a new approach called RNA," he said, noting that "we will have to build lots of manufacturing for the different approaches knowing that some of them will not work. [And] we will need literally billions of vaccines to protect the world."

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Vaccines could take months, he noted

"Vaccines require testing to make sure they are safe...The first vaccines we get will go to health care workers and critical workers. This could happen before 18 months if everything goes well but we...are being careful not to promise this when we're not sure."

Work

Gates has focused on health for years

The comments from Gates come a few days after he decided to leave the board of Microsoft, the company he co-founded four decades ago, and Berkshire Hathaway to focus on the work being done by Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, a non-profit organization. Over the years, Gates has channeled his wealth into this foundation to help focus on health and wellness around the world.

Twitter Post

Gates had warned about an epidemic like this in 2015