Musk says AI will surpass human intelligence by next year
Elon Musk has predicted that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will surpass the smartest human being by next, or by 2026. In a recent interview on X spaces, he stated, "If you define AGI as smarter than the smartest human, I think it's probably next year, within two years." He also discussed the challenges faced by his AI start-up, xAI, in training Grok, their AI chatbot.
Chip shortage hinders AI development: Musk
Musk revealed that a shortage of advanced chips has been a significant obstacle in training Grok's version 2 model. He explained that approximately 20,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs were required to train this model. Looking ahead, Musk anticipates future models will demand even more resources. "The Grok 3 model and beyond will require 100,000 NVIDIA H100 chips," he stated during the interview.
Electricity supply will be next bottleneck for AI development
In addition to chip shortages, Musk identified electricity supply as another major bottleneck for AI development. He emphasized that while chip availability has been a significant problem so far, electricity supply will become critical in the next year or two. This prediction underscores the growing resource demands of advanced artificial intelligence systems and the challenges they pose to infrastructure.
Musk acknowledges Chinese carmakers as strong competitors
On the topic of electric vehicles (EVs), Musk recognized Chinese carmakers as formidable competitors. He stated that Chinese carmakers are "the most competitive in the world" and pose "the most toughest competitive challenges" to Tesla." This acknowledgment highlights the global competition in the EV market and underscores China's growing influence in this sector.
Musk optimistic about resolving Tesla's labor disputes
Regarding recent labor disputes at Tesla, Musk expressed optimism, stating, "I think the storm has passed on that front." His comment came after a meeting between Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norway's $1.5 trillion sovereign wealth fund and Tesla's chair last month. The Norwegian fund is one of Tesla's largest shareholders, highlighting the significance of this development.
